Thursday, August 16, 2007

The Referees - Part 8 - Shots

In the last part, we saw what looked like a correlation between fewer penalty minutes and more goals. In this part, we'll see if that holds up for shots, since total shots can be a better measure of the action and offense in a game in my opinion.

In this one, the case is even more solid. The refs in games with the fewest penalty minutes are usually in the games with more shots, and thus more offense. I'm not sure why this is the case. About the only thing I can think of is that shots on the power play are fewer and father between then shots in play at even strength. Anyone else have any ideas?

Here are a few fun facts:
  • The average NHL game in 2006-2007 had 59.13 shots. 28.55 were taken by the home team and 30.57 by the road team.
  • The top 9 refs in PIM per game are in the bottom half of shots per game. The top three are in the bottom six.
Here are the stats - I'm listing (much like yesterday) the ref, their PIM ranking and their shots per game.

Ref PIM Rank Shots Avg
Eric Furlatt 18 61.81
Brian Pochmara 10 61.8
Kevin Pollock 20 60.29
Dean Warren 27 59.96
Paul Devorski 34 59.95
Marc Joannette 30 59.86
Bill McCreary 26 59.75
Dan O'Halloran 22 59.66
Tim Peel 35 59.57
Gord Dwyer 14 59.48
Dean Morton 33 59.44
Dan O'Rourke 16 59.43
Mick McGeough 17 59.37
Don Van Massenhoven 19 59.35
Rob Shick 25 59.21
Wes McCauley 37 59.2
Rob Martell 28 59.19
Brad Watson 9 59.18
Chris Lee 6 59.16
Kerry Fraser 31 59.16
Don Koharski 11 59.08
Ian Walsh 13 59.04
Chris Rooney 4 58.96
Dan Marouelli 29 58.84
Justin St. Pierre 21 58.79
Craig Spada 5 58.66
Mike Leggo 36 58.65
Kelly Sutherland 24 58.6
Mike Hasenfratz 8 58.51
Greg Kimmerly 32 58.51
Steve Kozari 1 58.38
Dennis LaRue 2 58.34
Brad Meier 7 58.34
Francois St. Laurent 15 58.19
Dave Jackson 3 57.74
Stephane Auger 23 57.64
Tom Kowal 12 57.58

So this post marks the end of my first series on different ways of looking at the NHL statistical data. I've really enjoyed writing it. I hope you're enjoying it too. If you are, spread the word - I think many more people might enjoy seeing this stuff.

Over the weekend, I'll post the introduction to the next series. I'm not sure if I'll do another one on the referees, or if I'll take a look at some player data. I have a few ideas, so we'll see what happens.

Here are the previous parts in the series:
Introduction
Part 1 - High PIM
Part 2 - Low PIM
Part 3 - Home / Road Intro
Part 4 - Home PIM Rankings
Part 5 - Road PIM Rankings
Part 6 - PIM Spread
Part 7 - Goals

No comments: